Climate scenario SSP126.

"The sustainable and “green” pathway describes an increasingly sustainable world. Global commons are being preserved, the limits of nature are being respected. The focus is more on human well-being than on economic growth. Income inequalities between states and within states are being reduced. Consumption is oriented towards minimizing material resource and energy usage."

Data for 2040

From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2040, the following stood out:

A huge increase in presence is predicted in the hot arid climate around Phalaborwa down to Nelspruit as well as south east of eSwatini.
A further moderate increase was predicted throughout the warm temperate humid region along the coast of KwaZulu-Natal into the Eastern cape, Stopping just before East London where the condtions become less good?
The hot arid desert around Messina and the arid steppe down around Polokwane were also predicted to be good hotspots for species occurance
The warm, temperate, dry regions around Rustenburg remained a good spot for the species
The area west of Gqeberha was also predicted to become more suitable to the species around 2040

Data for 2070

From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2070, the following stood out:

Areas of presence is seen to expand in the hot and humid areas
The area to the North of Beaverlac Nature Reserve in the Western Cape is also predicted to become more suitable to the pest

Data for 2100

From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2100, the following stood out:

A huge increase in presence is predicted in the hot arid climate around Phalaborwa down to Nelspruit as well as south east of eSwatini.
A further moderate increase was predicted throughout the warm temperate humid regeon along the coast of KwaZulu-Natal into the Eastern cape, Stopping just before East London where the condtions become less good?
The hot arid desert around Messina and the arid steppe down around Polokwane were also predicted to be good hotspots for species occurance
The warm, temperate, dry regions around Rustenburg remained a good spot for the species
The area west of Gqeberha was also predicted to become more suitable to the species around 2040