"Regional rivalry. A revival of nationalism and regional conflicts pushes global issues into the background. Policies increasingly focus on questions of national and regional security. Investments in education and technological development are decreasing. Inequality is rising. Some regions suffer drastic environmental damage."
From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2040, the following stood out:
| As with the SSP126 scenario huge increase in presence is predicted in the hot arid climate around Phalaborwa, extending into bits of Mozambique down to Nelspruit as well as south east of eSwatini. |
| A further moderate increase was predicted throughout the warm temperate humid regeon along the coast of KwaZulu-Natal into the Eastern cape, Stopping just before East London where the condtions become less good? |
| Contrary to the SSP126 scenario, the hot arid desert around and east of Messina did not show a yellow prediction, but the ma moderate increas in occurance can be seen nort east and south east of Mokopane in the hot arid steppe. |
| The warm, temperate, dry regions around Rustenburg remained a good spot for the species as well as the area around Kimberley |
| The model also predicted the area around George to be a good spot |
From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2070, the following stood out:
| No new areas were predicted to be good spots for the pest species. |
| All areas from 2040 increased in intensity, indicating that the area remained suitable |
From the RFR predictions for future occurances of S. frugiperda across South Africa by 2100, the following stood out:
| No new areas were predicted to be good spots for the pest species. |
| All areas from 2070 increased in intensity, indicating that the area remained suitable |
| What is important to note is the areas around the north of Gauteng increased in intensity, which are areas where human density is quite high |